Fort Smith’s wager on cultural heritage tourism

In 1957 “Judge Parker’s” courtroom and gallows reopened for business as Fort Smith began its wager that selling its 19th century history to tourists would create an economic bonanza for the city.

This initial effort was incorporated into the National Park Service as a National Historic Site in 1961 and the city gradually added frontier elements over time: “Miss Laura’s” opened in the early 90s with the objective of bringing motor-coach tours off I-40; fantastic stories of Belle Starr swirled about town, and the monument to Bass Reeves was unveiled in May 2012.

Over this nearly 60-year period these sites have attracted tourists to the city and contributed to the local economy, but the collective pay-off in this wager has been well short of a gold rush. Regardless, talk of lassoing the “economic engine” of the United States Marshals Museum to Fort Smith began in 2003, and was accomplished in January 2007. Eight years later there has been a symbolic groundbreaking, but as easement issues and monetary support remain outstanding, there has been no actual construction.

A critical analysis of cultural heritage tourism at national sites as well as in Fort Smith, reveals the assumption that cultural heritage tourism will automatically trigger an economic windfall, and specifically in the case of Fort Smith, that the U. S. Marshals Museum will be an economic engine for the region, is counter to decades long trends within the tourism industry. I am not saying the Marshals Museum will not happen, nor that I am opposed to it. I agree the city is a great location for it and that it complements existing tourist sites quite well. I am simply saying that after reviewing national literature on the cultural heritage tourism industry, wagering on it does not appear to be the sure-fire-bet jack-pot it is portrayed to be.

In Fort Kearney, Neb., for example, The Great Platte River Road Archway opened with great fanfare in 2000 with predicted visitors of 300,000 annually. Optimism was running high with millions of cars zipping directly under the archway on I-80. The first year saw 250,000 visitors, but by 2012 it had declined to 50,000 a year, and bankruptcy was declared in 2013. Closer to home, for the past 21 years Oklahoma City has been trying to build The American Indian Cultural Center and Museum. After spending $91 million a nearly finished facility has sat boarded up for the past two years.

A third example of a tourist attraction that was believed would be a sure economic bet is the NASCAR Hall of Fame in Charlotte, N.C. In 2005 it was predicted that it would draw at least 400,000 a year if not up to 800,000. It has averaged 170,000 and the city of Charlotte owes $18 million in this venture that was hailed to be a “job creator” for the region.

Similar optimism and claims of being an “economic engine” have been attached to the U. S. Marshals Museum effort in Fort Smith, despite national trends, and despite the fact this same venture has already failed in two other cities. In 1988 Oklahoma City began hearing talk of a U. S. Marshals Memorial that would have a second phase of construction to include a museum. It was widely stated then that Oklahoma City was a great fit for the museum and that and it would draw 300,000 a year. In November 1989 a memorial was dedicated and held great promise as a memorial and museum for the Marshals Service. Within a year all these hopes had been dashed with $347,000 in construction debt and much finger pointing.

Within a year it was announced that the Wyoming Territorial Park (WTP) in Laramie, Wyoming had won the bid for the Marshals Museum. More technically speaking, the “Marshals Museum” consisted of a Smithsonian constructed traveling exhibit called “America’s Star” that was housed within the WTP. Primary documents from the 10 years it was in Laramie reveal a continuous struggle to raise funds for a full-blown museum. Minutes from the National U. S.  Marshals Museum Trustees meeting from Nov. 12, 1998, for example, reflect a balance of less than $12,000 in the coffers while attempting many different fundraisers.

By 2002 the WTP had put a lien on the stored exhibit and the Marshals Service was suing them in return. Just like Oklahoma City, the reasons for the museum failing in Laramie are varied and complex. Interestingly, the failures in each location did not cause much pause for the next towns to vigorously compete for securing the museum for themselves. Within a year, July 2003, it was reported that then U.S. Rep. John Boozman, R-Rogers, was in talks with Marshals Service Director Benigno Reyna to bring the museum to Fort Smith. By the end of 2003 there was a good deal of enthusiasm for this project in Fort Smith.

Between 2003 and 2007 there was bold talk of up to $25 million in state money coming to the project estimated to cost $10 million to $15 million. By the end of 2007 that $25 million of taxpayer support had turned into $2 million while the cost of the project had jumped to $50 million. In the eight years that have passed since the Marshals Museum was awarded to Fort Smith it reports having raised $19.5 million including cash, pledges, and the value of the donated land – but as that figure does not subtract what has been spent on salaries, consultants, architects, etc., it is presumably much less.

In addition to the challenge of raising a significant amount of more money (and the new collector coins will not help in this regard as the money cannot be used for construction costs), the Marshals Museum is also faced with an industry that has been on a downward slope for decades. Sites of national prominence such as Colonial Williamsburg, Museum of the Confederacy, Monticello, and Mount Vernon have all seen their attendances decline. A museum research group, Reach Advisors has found that the decline in visitors has been happening for decades, dropping by over a third, to the tune of 8 million fewer visitors to history museums.

A study conducted by the University of Chicago Cultural Policy Center examined new museum construction between 1994-2008 at costs ranging from $4 million to $335 million. They found overruns in construction cost in 80% of those cases, and that the much counted on donor support failed to materialize after opening. A third conclusion they reached is that the supply of museums has surpassed demand. This is not the portrait of an industry full of “economic engines.”

Still, it is argued, the Marshals Museum will be a companion to the very successful Crystal Bridges and the Clinton Presidential Library catching visitors as they travel to these sites. First, being underwritten by Walton money with top-notch artwork on display, or being a presidential library with valued archives being accessed by researchers in a capital city, is quite different than being a privately supported museum in Fort Smith. Second, it is a big assumption to make that the same demographic that visits these two sites is also interested in museums such as the Marshals Museum. How will the museum attract a significantly different or new group of visitors than those who already come to Fort Smith?

One response to this question is the planned exhibits that will feature the role the U.S. Marshals Service has played in civil rights events. But, why would individuals looking for civil rights tourism go to the Marshals Museum when they can go to nearby sites where significant moments in American civil rights history actually took place – to Little Rock Central High where desegregation happened, or to Memphis to the National Civil Rights Museum, literally built around the Lorraine Motel where Dr. King was assassinated?

Furthermore, we are not on the interstate between any of these places (the I-49/I-40 exchange is in Alma, after all), nor is Fort Smith comparable to Memphis, Little Rock, or Northwest Arkansas when it comes to additional amenities. Moreover, while the museum will contain great educational opportunities, school children are not tourists who fill their cars up with gas, stay in hotels, and eat in restaurants.

The wager on frontier tourism is a genuine gamble: if we build the Marshals Museum, will tourists come in the droves that are being projected – up to 165,000 annually? If museums such as this were truly the economic engines they are claimed to be, they would happen far more often, and there would certainly already be a Marshals Museum somewhere.

I believe Fort Smith is a great location to have the U.S. Marshals Museum, and I want it to succeed, but the projected results are incommensurate with the research findings on the cultural heritage tourism industry. There are ways to reduce the risk factor in this wager, and the final role of the dice remains to be seen.

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Leases to drill off NC coast proposed

The federal government took its first official steps toward opening the Atlantic Coast to drilling for offshore oil and gas reserves with the Jan. 27 release of a draft leasing plan.

The Bureau of Ocean Energy Management’s draft plan, effective from 2017 – 2022, enables oil and gas companies to drill in the waters 50 miles off the coast of Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina and Georgia. The plan proposes a lease sale for the Mid-Atlantic area late in the program, in 2021, “reflecting the need for additional analysis and planning to identify the infrastructure and resources necessary to prepare for development activity, particularly spill response capabilities.”

Opening the Atlantic Ocean to offshore drilling could change the visual and economic landscape currently enjoyed by coastal communities, said Oceana vice president Jacqueline Savitz.

“It could lead to a coastline scattered with oil and gas rigs. Commercial fishing, tourism and recreation economies would suffer from routine oil leaks as well as the looming risk of a Deepwater Horizon-like oil disaster stretching along the East Coast,” Savitz stated in a Jan. 27 press release. “It’s not something people on the coast want to experience.”

A native of the Mississippi Gulf Coast, Environment North Carolina Field Associate Liz Kazal said she is disappointed to see North Carolina vulnerable to the potential consequences of drilling.

“As someone who experienced the BP oil spill firsthand, I’ve seen the damages that offshore drilling can bring to the coast from tar balls washing up onto beaches to pelicans and dolphins covered in oil,” Kazal said in a Jan. 27 press release. “The prudent action to take is to keep North Carolina out of the plan for good.”

The industry has learned many lessons since the 2010 Deepwater Horizon oil spill, when a Gulf rig exploded and gushed millions of barrels of oil into the ocean for more than 12 weeks, said Erik Milito, American Petroleum Institute director of upstream and industry operations, during a Jan. 27 press conference. Prevention is 99 percent of the approach, Milito said, but the industry has also worked to ensure quick access to technology needed to cap and contain spills within one week.

Savitz questioned whether drilling operations are safer now than in 2010.

“Despite the growth of the oil and gas industry, offshore drilling is still no safer than it was five years ago when the Gulf Spill captivated Americans for months as we awaited an end to the gushing oil,” Savitz stated, citing no congressional action to implement standards preventing a similar disaster from taking place.

The release of the draft plan initiates a 60-day public comment period, during which 20 public meetings will take place in the proposed action regions. Public comments will be used to shape and refine the first draft into a second draft and a final draft of the five-year program. North Carolina’s only meeting will take place from 3-7 p.m. Feb. 17 at Wrightsville Beach’s Blockade Runner Beach Resort.

Environment North Carolina will work to provide a voice for individuals concerned about the inclusion of the Atlantic in the draft program, Kazal said.

“We’re going to be doing everything we can to get the public involved,” Kazal said.

A Harris Poll conducted on behalf of the American Petroleum Institute suggests seven in 10 North Carolina voters who participated in the poll support offshore oil and gas exploration, said North Carolina Petroleum Council Executive Director David McGowan.

“Voters in North Carolina know developing more of America’s homegrown energy makes sense for jobs, government revenues, and our energy security. We could bring more than tens of thousands of good-paying jobs to North Carolina and diversify our economy simply by allowing more oil and natural gas production to occur in our state and off our shores,” McGowan stated in a Jan. 27 press release.

Because the public will have ample opportunity to provide input used to tweak the draft program, Milito called for “full consideration of all planning areas where significant discoveries are possible” in the plan in support of an ongoing American energy renaissance.

It could take decades after the lease sale to produce the first barrel of oil or cubic foot of natural gas, Milito noted, but seismic testing to update government estimates of Atlantic reserves could begin later this year. The latest tests were conducted in the 1970s and 1980s.

email miriah@luminanews.com

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AT&T Continues North Carolina Hiring In 2015 — Bringing Nearly 100 New …








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CHARLOTTE, N.C., Jan. 30, 2015 /PRNewswire/ — ATT* today announced it is looking to fill nearly 100 new technician positions in North Carolina. The jobs are needed to meet growing demand for ATT’s Internet, voice and video networks, including the expansion of U-verse® with ATT GigaPowerSM.

In North Carolina, ATT launched U-verse with ATT GigaPower Dec. 8 in Carrboro, Cary, Chapel Hill, Raleigh and Winston-Salem, and also plans to bring the service to Durham, Charlotte and Greensboro.**  U-verse with ATT GigaPower provides customers access to the fastest Internet available from ATT, featuring speeds up to 1 gigabit per second.***

In addition to its technician positions, ATT is looking to fill nearly 200 business sales and call center positions in North Carolina. In 2014, ATT filled nearly 900 jobs in the state.

“ATT is committed to offering industry-leading products and services, from advanced wireless to the ultra-high speed Internet of U-verse with ATT GigaPower,” said Venessa Harrison, president, ATT North Carolina. “We are also dedicated to providing exemplary customer service through the best employees in our competitive industry. Our investments to achieve those goals here in North Carolina reflect the hard work of leaders at both the state and local levels to sustain forward-looking policies that attract business and help drive economic growth.”

In addition to Internet and voice services, U-verse with ATT GigaPower customers have access to cutting-edge TV services.  This includes the ability to watch and record five simultaneous HD streams and ATT’s largest storage capacity DVR capable of storing up to 900 hours of SD or 330 hours of HD programming. Customers can watch more than 100 live channels in and out of home, watch video on-demand TV shows and schedule DVR recordings, on more than 30 smartphones and tablets through the ATT U-verse app.

More information on ATT jobs openings can be found at http://www.att.jobs.

ATT jobs are among the best in the world and full- and part-time positions include competitive wages and benefits which provide security and value to ATT employees, retirees and their dependents. ATT currently employs more than 6,700 people throughout North Carolina and is constantly hiring new talent. ATT also offers numerous opportunities for professional development and education. ATT is committed to diversity and veteran recruiting. 

For more information about ATT’s coverage in North Carolina or anywhere in the U.S., consumers can visit the ATT Coverage Viewer. Using the online tool, ATT customers can measure quality of coverage from a street address, intersection, ZIP code or even a landmark. For updates on the ATT wireless network, please visit the ATT network news page.

* ATT products and services are provided or offered by subsidiaries and affiliates of ATT Inc. under the ATT brand and not by ATT Inc.

** Initial availability limited to select areas.

*** Speed/time estimates are examples. Internet speed claims represent maximum network service capability speeds. Actual customer speeds may vary and are not guaranteed. Actual speeds vary based on factors including site traffic, content provider server capacity, internal network management factors, customer device capabilities and use of other U-verse services. For more information, go to www.att.com/speed101

About ATT
ATT Inc. (NYSE: T) helps millions of people and businesses around the globe stay connected through leading wireless, high-speed Internet, voice and cloud-based services. We’re helping people mobilize their worlds with state-of-the-art communications, entertainment services and amazing innovations like connected cars and devices for homes, offices and points in between. Our U.S. wireless network offers customers the nation’s strongest LTE signal and the nation’s most reliable 4G LTE network. We offer the best global wireless coverage. We’re improving how our customers stay entertained and informed with ATT U-verse® TV and High Speed Internet services. And businesses worldwide are serving their customers better with ATT’s mobility and highly secure cloud solutions.

Additional information about ATT products and services is available at http://about.att.com. Follow our news on Twitter at @ATT, on Facebook at http://www.facebook.com/att and YouTube at http://www.youtube.com/att.

© 2015 ATT Intellectual Property. All rights reserved. ATT, the Globe logo and other marks are trademarks and service marks of ATT Intellectual Property and/or ATT affiliated companies. All other marks contained herein are the property of their respective owners.

Reliability and signal strength claims based on nationwide carriers’ LTE. Signal strength claim based ONLY on avg. LTE signal strength. LTE not available everywhere. Global coverage claim based on offering voice and data roaming in more countries than any other U.S. based carrier, and offering the most wireless smartphones and tablets that work in the most countries.

Cautionary Language Concerning Forward-Looking Statements
Information set forth in this press release contains financial estimates and other forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties, and actual results might differ materially. A discussion of factors that may affect future results is contained in ATT’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. ATT disclaims any obligation to update and revise statements contained in this news release based on new information or otherwise.

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Baker & Taylor Launches New Axis 360 App








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CHARLOTTE, N.C., Jan. 29, 2015 /PRNewswire/ — Baker Taylor, the premier worldwide distributor of digital and print books and entertainment products, announced today the launch of its new Axis 360 app for both Apple and Android devices. The Axis 360 app offers mobile users the ability to discover, download and listen to digital audiobooks, as well as access ebooks to read, within a single application.

Axis 360 app users will enjoy increased functionality and ease-of-use, with one-stop access to content from their public or school library. Users can browse the library or school’s entire digital collection or search for a specific title. Once they discover that perfect new release or longtime favorite, they can check it out using a built-in audiobook player in addition to the existing ebook reader. Axis 360 also presents recommendations from the library’s collection, based on the user’s selection.

“The new Axis 360 app makes the logistics of discovering and downloading digital content easy,” said George Coe, President and CEO of Baker Taylor. “The streamlined app gets readers directly to the ebook or audiobook they’re excited to explore. It also promises ongoing advancements in the space. As with all technology companies, Baker Taylor continuously works to develop product upgrades and this moves us even closer to an all-in-one app that will focus on an intuitive design and simplicity in the discover, check out, read and listen process.”

With its one-time login functionality the app will store a user’s home library and access credentials, eliminating the need to retype usernames and passwords, and providing immediate access to the library’s entire digital collection. Users can access all of their borrowed titles in a single, consolidated bookshelf called “My Stuff,” and will enjoy seamless integration with all their devices – check out a title on a desktop and have access on all mobile devices fitted with the app.

Axis 360 is Baker Taylor’s revolutionary digital media service that provides libraries and schools with a state-of-the-art and visually engaging system for circulating digital books and audiobooks. Library patrons and students can download the free app now on iTunes or Google Play. To find out if your local library or school participates, please visit www.baker-taylor.com/axis360/find-a-library.htm.

About Baker Taylor
Baker Taylor, Inc. is the premier worldwide distributor of books, digital content and entertainment products. The company offers cutting-edge digital media services and innovative technology platforms to thousands of publishers, libraries, schools and retailers worldwide. Baker Taylor also offers industry-leading customized library services and retail merchandising solutions. Charlotte, N.C.-based Baker Taylor is majority owned by Castle Harlan Partners IV, L.P., an institutional private equity fund managed by Castle Harlan, Inc., a leading private equity investment firm. For more information, please visit www.baker-taylor.com.

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Breezy solutions: why wind power is the answer to saving money, jobs and lives …

When I think of North Carolina, I recall the strange and exciting new home that I’ve found at Duke since my arrival this past September. However, until very recently, going “down to Carolina” was for me—as it is for many families—synonymous to going to the beach. Those of us lucky enough to have spent childhood vacations chasing sand-fiddlers and splashing in the surf along the Outer Banks can attest to the importance of the tourism industry in this state—the lines at the beach-side ice-cream stands alone are evidence enough. We can also attest that a quintessential part of the experience is the wind— a force that can send towels, and occasionally umbrellas, dancing down the coastline.

Pressure from local groups as well as from the federal government has prompted proposals to harness wind power in an effort to satisfy North Carolina’s growing demand for sustainable energy. These proposals have remained controversial, primarily due to the fear that the wind-turbines would obstruct the view of the state’s scenic coastline, upsetting locals and discouraging tourists. However, it is becoming increasingly clear that the benefits of wind power outweigh any potential loss in scenic value.

A 2010 report put out by the North Carolina Energy Policy Council and the North Carolina Energy Office noted that the state’s energy market, already one of the nation’s largest, has been growing at a faster rate than that of the nation as a whole—a trend which continues today. While the state has been investing in a number of new sources to keep up with demand, the two with the most potential for significant impact are offshore drilling and wind power.

The push for drilling off North Carolina’s beaches was slowed in 2011 when the then-Governor Bev Perdue vetoed a pro-drilling Senate bill, largely because of the national concern provoked by the 2010 British Petroleum oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico. Today, however, the political climate has cooled and newly elected Senator Thom Tillis, among others, has voiced his strong support for drilling. While the potentially devastating risks of drilling have been well-documented in recent years, the fear of rising energy prices and the desire to work towards energy independence have proven persuasive arguments for those who agree with Tillis.

The lack of sustainable energy is one of the most serious issues that North Carolina must face in the coming decades and, as advocates of drilling have stated, some risk is worthwhile in the search for a solution. However, drilling is not the only risk that the state has the option to invest in. The blow that wind-turbines might strike to the tourism industry pales in comparison to the threat of an oil spill, particularly considering just how much potential energy those breezes have to offer.

According to a study by Oceana, an international advocacy group for ocean conservation, just 20 years of offshore wind production could easily generate “the equivalent of over half a billion barrels of oil more than all of North Carolina’s economically recoverable oil and gas.” Furthermore, the development of offshore wind could be expected to create over 48,000 local jobs, or about 25, 000 more than oil drilling would likely provide. Equally important, as the authors of the study note, is the fact that while oil is a limited resource, North Carolina will never run out of wind.

The dangers posed by drilling far outweigh those posed by turbines, and this alone makes a persuasive case for investing in the latter. While it’s hard to estimate the creation of new jobs, it’s certain that fishing, tourism and recreation currently represent 51,000 jobs and generate nearly $2.2 billion in GDP in North Carolina. The installation of wind turbines would likely have a modest detrimental effect on tourism, but it is nothing compared to the fall-out from an oil spill. Even if the state is lucky enough to avoid this calamity, there is no way to avoid the impact of Seismic air-gun blasting, the first step in old drilling, on local wildlife. The loud blasts are documented as severely disrupting the behavior and communication of many forms of aquatic life, in particular dolphins and endangered North Atlantic right whales, of which only 500 remain.

The good news is that while the push for offshore drilling has recently been reinvigorated, the push for the development of wind power is also moving forward. On a Federal level the Obama Administration’s Smart from the Start offshore wind energy initiative has proposed to lease more than 300,000 acres for development off the coast of North Carolina. Despite resistance and recent setbacks, the completion of an environmental assessment last week bodes well for the future of the project. A 30 day public comment period began on Jan 23, so now is the time to speak out in support of this project. The future of North Carolina’s beaches is in our hands.

Ashlyn Nuckols is a Trinity Freshman. Her column is the second installment in a semester-long series of biweekly columns written by members of Environmental Alliance.

[viii] Casey, Tina. “The Great State of North Carolina Plunges Deeper into Offshore Wind Energy.” Clean Technica (Jan 25, 2015)

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Ashland named best town for movie-makers


By John Darling
For the Tidings


Posted Jan. 29, 2015 @ 2:00 am
Updated Jan 29, 2015 at 11:08 AM


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ACC basketball night in review: Notre Dame erases 10-point deficit to upend Duke

Jerian Grant and Notre Dame collected another big victory.

N.C. State and (especially) Miami suffered puzzling losses.

Georgia Tech got on the board in conference play.

That, plus a look ahead to a busy Saturday, in the ACC night in review.

Jerian Grant, Notre Dame

The senior was in the middle of nearly everything in the Fighting Irish’s 77-73 defeat of Duke. He scored 23 points and added six rebounds, 12 assists, three steals and two blocks as Notre Dame (20-2, 8-1 ACC) beat the Blue Devils (17-3, 4-3) for the second consecutive season in South Bend.

Between his scoring and his assists (which led to 28 points), Grant played a role in nearly two-thirds of the Irish’s points. He was one of four players in double figures for Notre Dame, which added yet another solid victory to its overall profile.

Miami

What a stinker put up by the Hurricanes (14-6, 4-3), who can stake a claim to being the ACC’s most volatile team after losing 70-50 at home to Georgia Tech.

Indeed, Jim Larrañaga’s team has won by 16 at Cameron Indoor Stadium and lost by 20 at home to a Yellow Jackets outfit that hadn’t won a conference game yet this season. And that’s not even counting the 28-point beatdown that Miami absorbed at home against Eastern Kentucky on Dec. 19.

The Hurricanes will probably rout Florida State on Sunday in response to this. But, really, anything’s on the table with this unpredictable lot.

N.C. State

This was maybe a little more predictable than Miami’s loss, but no less disappointing. N.C. State was coming off back-to-back losses to Miami and Notre Dame, and had the Irish down 18 before losing in overtime. A visit from Clemson didn’t look so imposing.

Except that the Tigers, despite their offensive inefficiency on many nights, usually play quite hard. And now they’re back to .500 in the league after ambushing the Wolfpack (including a 20-point halftime lead) on the way to a 68-57 victory.

It’s not a game N.C. State (13-9, 4-5) should have lost, and it makes the Wolfpack’s ever-meandering annual path to an NCAA tournament even more harrowing.

0

Teams left in the ACC without a conference victory at Georgia Tech’s victory at Miami. It was the first triumph over a league opponent for the Yellow Jackets (10-10, 1-7) since the first day of last year’s  ACC tournament, when they beat Boston College in overtime.

18

All-time victories for Clemson on the road against the ACC’s three Research Triangle schools. The Tigers (12-8, 4-4), who have never won at North Carolina and earned the last of their four victories at Duke in 1995, knocked off N.C. State in Raleigh for the 14th time on Wednesday.

Chris Jones had 28 points and Terry Rozier added 23 as Louisville (17-3, 5-2) earned an 81-72 victory in its first game against Boston College (9-10, 1-6) as members of the same conference. … Xavier Rathan-Mayes had 21 points, five rebounds and five assists to help Florida State (11-10, 3-5) avoid falling under .500 and beat Wake Forest 82-76 in double-overtime. Codi Miller-McIntyre had 25 for the Demon Deacons (9-12, 1-7).

N.C. State at Georgia Tech (Noon, ACC Network; ESPN3 in Syracuse): It’s a crucial bounceback game for the Wolfpack, which very much finds itself needing to snap a three-game skid as it visits McCamish Pavilion.

Notre Dame at Pittsburgh (Noon, ACC Network; CW 6 in Syracuse): The Irish have won five in a row, while the Panthers (13-8, 3-5) have dropped their last three and likely don’t have the scoring punch to keep up with Notre Dame.

Boston College at Clemson (Noon, YES): The Tigers survived their absurd early-conference gauntlet, and now have a chance to slide above .500 as the Eagles make the trip to Death Valley.

Virginia Tech at Wake Forest (2, MSG): Two teams with first-year coaches apparently well on their way to #TuesdayInGreensboro meet, with Buzz Williams’ Hokies (9-11, 1-6) coming off two of their better games to date — a near-upset of Virginia and an overtime defeat of Pittsburgh.

North Carolina at Louisville (4, ESPN): The Tar Heels (17-4, 7-1) erased a double-digit lead in the final nine minutes of the teams’ first meeting back on Jan. 10. Louisville gets another crack at Marcus Paige and Co., this time at home.

Duke at Virginia (7, ESPN): The unbeaten Cavaliers (19-0, 7-0), who haven’t played since Sunday, look to take down the Blue Devils again in a rematch of last season’s ACC tournament title game.

Contact Patrick Stevens anytime: Email | Twitter

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Just how big will Asheville get? – Asheville Citizen

It’s a love affair with no end in sight, this relationship with Asheville.

And it’s one that moves people — literally. They just keep moving here, about three people each day of each year, if you crunch the population and growth numbers.

With Asheville seemingly landing on somebody’s superlatives list every week, a spate of apartment building that will put 3,000 units on the market in the next two years, and a natural beauty and mild climate that will continue to lure retirees, it begs the question: Just how big will Asheville get?

“We have one thing about us that’s unique — we grow every year, and we’ve been doing that every year for the past 40 years,” said Tom Tveidt, an economist and founder of Syneva Economics, an Asheville economic research firm.

And we’re growing not because current residents are having babies; we’re growing because people just keep moving here. Tveidt notes that the “natural portion” of growth (births greater than deaths) is actually negative, by 218, in the latest Census data for 2012 to 2013.

But in-migration — people moving here from other areas — resulted in a net gain of 5,390 new residents during that time frame, and international in-migration led to a net gain of 415 new residents. That’s “been a pretty consistent long term trend,” he said.

As Tveidt points out, the Asheville metro area, which includes Buncombe, Haywood, Madison and Henderson counties, has never lost population in any year in more than four decades. Just 80 of the 381 U.S. metropolitan statistical areas can say that.

Census data put Asheville’s population at 87,236 last year, while Buncombe County, which includes Asheville, was home to just under 248,000 people in 2013, a number projected to rise to 254,601 this year — and 300,000 by 2030.

Terrifying or great?

In an area known for its eclectic mix of natives and newcomers, the issue of growth — and how much is enough — garners passionate opinions aplenty.

“Asheville should become the biggest city in North Carolina,” said city resident Jerry Tillotson. “We need industry and new businesses to bring in a more diverse job market. This will bring in a more diverse population. We have plenty of room to spread out; this city has much more to offer than just tourism and culinary delights.”

Another Ashevillian, Pamela Kimmell, finds the growth trends downright scary, saying she dreads more. In 2000, Asheville had 72,606 residents, a number that shot to 83,393 by 2010, a nearly 15 percent jump.

“The obvious thing to my mind is that rental housing will be too expensive for most folks, so workers will have to live further out, exacerbating their economic woes,” she said. “Will public transportation improve and expand service? Will wages increase? Will schools be able to cope, given that our legislature doesn’t support education in any real way. Will roads and sidewalks be repaired and improved? Who pays for that? Will more housing developments be squeezed into the few green places left downtown? Will high-rise housing take over? Where will they park?”

She continued in that vein, raising concerns that many others share.

POLL: Can Asheville support more newcomers?

Over those past 40 years Asheville has grown at an average annual pace of 1.3 percent, which ranks the metro area in the top 20 percent for growth in all U.S. metro areas. Extrapolating our current population to 20 years ahead with a 1.3 percent growth rate, that would make us a city of 112,950 by 2035.

The N.C. Office of Budget and Management puts out projections, and its numbers show Buncombe growing to just over 300,000 people by 2030.

“If you look at the people moving in here, the majority of them, a large number of the people are people from the North who have left the North and gone to Florida, South Carolina, south Georgia, and then come back here for the climate and the culture,” said Tony Hickey, a professor of sociology at Western Carolina University. “I would anticipate that would only increase.”

The natural constraints

Before everybody freaks out about a coming tidal wave of newcomers, consider the Asheville area’s natural constraints to growth.

Hickey does not foresee Asheville becoming a Charlotte in the mountains, or even a Winston-Salem or Raleigh, mainly because of what’s kept the area from growing by leaps and bounds for centuries: the mountains.

“If people want to be in Asheville — close to Asheville — you’ve got to look at how many places can you build,” Hickey said. “There are some geographical constraints that are very different here than in other areas.”

Buncombe County Planning Director and Assistant County Manager Jon Creighton sees some potential for growth in some areas of the county, but he maintains a basic human need will constrain it in others.

“What limits us is topography, and there’s only half the county that has (city) water and sewer,” Creighton said. “That limits that big type of growth from happening. In some respects, that’s why folks are building up. There are limits on what you can do, especially in the northern half of Buncombe County.”

The Metropolitan Sewerage District Plant in Woodfin handles 20 million gallons of wastewater a day, serving about 50,000 customers in Buncombe County and northern Henderson County through 1,000 miles of line. Officials say it runs at about half capacity.

But running new lines, especially over high terrain, is extremely expensive, and Creighton said he’s actually had some rural residents fight it because of the potential growth it could engender.

Developer Rusty Pulliam, whose company Pulliam Properties has developed much of the Hendersonville Road commercial corridor, sees the topography — and the pillars of our economy — limiting growth. We are, whether we like it or not, a tourist destination and a retirement haven, he said.

“One thing is we don’t have the employment here to bring the young college graduates to Asheville,” Pulliam said. “We’re doing a very good job at economic development, but we don’t have the professional jobs here that would draw the attention of college graduates who are going to the Atlanta, Charlotte and New York markets.”

Other major metros will continue to pull in or just keep their major employers and corporate headquarters, causing big metros in North Carolina to continue to outpace Asheville in population, Pulliam said.

The housing cost factor

Don Davies, founder of Realsearch, an Asheville company that researches real estate trends, points to another factor that will curtail growth: We’re an expensive place to live, and that trend likely will continue.

“I think the thing that’s going to limit us, in terms of real estate, is we’re heading close to a $500,000 average asking price for all the houses on the market,” Davies said.

Asheville has the highest cost of living of 13 cities listed on the website of the Economic Development Coalition of Asheville-Buncombe County. Asheville rates a 103.6, which is just above the national average of 100. The number factors in various costs, ranging from housing to food.

In North Carolina, Wilmington (98.6), Charlotte (95.7), Raleigh (93.6), Durham (92.7) and Winston-Salem (88.4), all scored better.

Davies offers some sobering statistics of his own. On Jan. 19, Buncombe County set a new record high for that average asking price, at $493,948, and that’s going back to 1986. Buncombe County had 1,453 homes on the market.

“This Monday, we had 1,461 homes on the market, and it jumped to $496,249,” Davies said. “It’s done that every single week this year. Every single Monday it’s up, up, up.”

And that number of homes includes everything from mansions to mobile homes, he said.

“A couple of things have to happen for Asheville to keep growing,” Davies said. “We’re going to have to have someone come in and start building houses — homes and town homes, in the neighborhood of 1,600-1,700 square feet. What’s happened now is the better priced homes, something in the $280,000-$290,000 range, don’t stay on the market very long, and that’s really the affordability of our area, not $400,000 or $500,000.”

Of course, asking price is not selling price. Davies’ stats show Buncombe averaged 297 sales a month last year, with an average selling price of $269,403. Still, that’s up more than $100,000 from 2001, when it was $162,547.

“What we’re not seeing is the development of duplexes, triplexes and quadplexes — small residential housing, small-scale builders who are only building single-family housing,” said Jeff Staudinger, assistant director of community and economic development with the city of Asheville. “As we think about density, that’s one of the trends we need to see: as demand increases for affordable housing, we need more people to see opportunity in doing duplexes, triplexes, and quadplexes. Small-scale development that fits in very well in neighborhoods.”

Staudinger noted the four-county MSA grew by about 25,000 in the past five years and is projected to do roughly the same the next five. He said it begs the question: Where will those folks live?

Right now, the apartment boom continues unabated. Asheville just approved 477 new apartments, east and south of downtown, and it recently increased the density allowed in several commercial corridors.

Kit Cramer, president and CEO of the Asheville Area Chamber of Commerce, wants to see more housing built and believes the apartment deluge should result in more competition and lower rents. She points out that Asheville is a regional employment hub, with a “labor shed” that draws workers from 10 surrounding counties every day.

“In Western North Carolina, we’re dependent on jobs here in Asheville,” Cramer said. “The latest estimate is we’re going to have 1,500 new hotel rooms coming online, and as far as I can tell they are all in the process of actually occurring. So my mind goes to, where are you going to get those workers?”

As Tveidt will tell you, they’ll very likely move here from elsewhere.

In Davies’ mind, growth is as inevitable and gorgeous mountain sunsets. The nut of the issue is, how do we want to manage that growth?

“That’s the question,” he said. “You’ll always find people who want to get upset about the growth of Asheville, and that’s fine. But it’s going to grow.”

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Environmental groups question oil drilling off Va., NC

RICHMOND (AP) – While supported by Virginia’s political establishment, the Obama administration’s decision to open waters off the state’s coast and elsewhere along the Atlantic is being condemned by environmental groups.

Groups like the Sierra Club and the Chesapeake Bay Foundation reacted Tuesday after the administration floated the idea of opening for the first time vast areas off Virginia, North and South Carolina and Georgia to oil companies in 2021.

The Virginia chapter of the Sierra Club says offshore oil exploration threatens the state’s coastal tourism economy, as well as the fishing industry.

“It also risks our climate. The Obama administration has done more than any other to tackle the climate crisis. However, these efforts must extend to keeping dirty fuels in the ground, especially in undeveloped and environmentally fragile areas like those off Virginia’s beaches,” said Sierra Club’s Virginia Director Glen Besa.

The CBF contends offshore drilling creates a new pollution source in waters off the mouth of the bay.

“The Chesapeake Bay is a national treasure, and drilling offshore poses unjustifiable risks to the Bay, its living resources, the tourism economy, and the many jobs dependent on clean water,” remaked Vice President Kim Coble. “A significant portion of the blue crab population utilizes these very waters during the early life cycle stages. The crab larvae can float miles out into the ocean on the water’s surface after they are spawned at the mouth of the Bay. An oil spill could destroy an entire year class of blue crabs. The economic impact from any spill could be huge, hurting commercial watermen, recreational fishing, and tourism.”

Gov. Terry McAuliffe (D-VA) has led the bipartisan support for what he calls responsible oil and gas exploration off the state’s coast. He called the decision a positive step toward responsible offshore energy development that will create jobs and economic activity, while helping our Commonwealth diversify its energy resources.

“If we proceed in a smart and safe way, we can unlock gas, oil, and wind assets offshore while protecting our environment and Virginia’s close relationship with the Department of Defense and other key stakeholders. I will continue to work with the Obama administration on this important issue to move our energy economy forward,” he said.

North Carolina Governor Pat McCrory (R-NC) applauded the decision as well.

“Responsible exploration and development of oil and gas reserves off our coast would create thousands of good paying jobs, spur activity in a host of associated industries, generate billions of dollars in tax revenue and move America closer to energy independence.”

McCrory expressed concern over the 50-mile coastal buffer in the Mid- and South Atlantic lease sale that he believes unnecessarily limits the opportunity for further examination of the resource potential and identification of environmentally sensitive areas.

The Chesapeake Climate Action Network said the Obama administration is turning its back on the lessons of the BP disaster and opening Virginia’s coast to unacceptable and unnecessary risks. Officials adde3d that offshore wind power has far more upside, and none of the same downsides as drilling.

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Gov. McCrory Applauds Offshore Drilling Proposal for Carolinas

RALEIGH — North Carolina Gov. Pat McCrory says moving closer to drilling offshore of the Carolinas is a step in the right direction.

On Tuesday, the Department of the Interior announced a draft of a five-year plan to sell oil and gas exploration leases off the shores of Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina and Georgia.

Gov. McCrory chairs the Outer Continental Shelf Governors Coalition, a group of coastal state governors favoring offshore energy development. The governor said in a statement that responsible development of gas and oil off the coast will create thousands of jobs and generate billions in tax revenue.

He said it will also help the nation move closer to energy independence.

McCrory’s group wants revenue-sharing for coastal states to compensate local communities for infrastructure, environmental protection and other needs that could be created by offshore exploration. 

Meanwhile, North Carolina Sen. Thom Tillis said the Obama administration’s plan to open up waters off the southern U.S. to oil and gas exploration did not go far enough.

“While I am glad that President Obama is now considering allowing offshore natural gas and oil exploration, his proposal is wholly inadequate and effectively prevents individual states from unlocking their full energy potential,” Tillis said in a statement. 

Tillis also said legislation he and fellow Sen. Richard Burr proposed earlier this month would create thousands of jobs and billions of dollars in economic activity.

Despite that enthusiasm, conservation groups are vowing to challenge the plan. 

In a post on its Facebook page, nonprofit Oceana said, “Get ready to push back with us against the plan’s destructive elements.” The post has garnered more than 600 likes.

Sierra Weaver, a senior attorney with the Southern Environmental Law Center, encouraged opponents to take advantage of a 60-day period during which the public can make comments on the plan. 

Weaver argued offshore exploration’s potential benefits do not outweigh potential risks to the environment and revenue-generating industries, like tourism. 

“We know that from the Deepwater Horizon that drilling in deep water does not protect oil from reaching the coast if a major blowout occurs,” she said. 

Mac Montgomery, former mayor of Kure Beach and a member of the NC League of Conservation Voters, said that wind and solar energy offer better, safer alternatives.

“I think we need to look 20 to 50 years ahead about where we’re going to be, not for my generation, but for the generation of my grandchildren and others,” he said. 

Based on information from the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management, leases in the mid and south Atlantic would not be scheduled to start until 2021. 

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